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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Bayer Leverkusen — Newcastle

Predictions by Market: Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 W W D D L
Kick-off
Wed 10 Dec · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
D W W D L Away · last 5
BayArena · Bayer Leverkusen Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
35%
Best 3.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.60
Away Win · NEW
39%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.78 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 63% · EV +12.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 35%
Odds 2.96
Show model details
Implied probability 33.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 39%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 14.80
Show model details
Implied probability 6.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 42%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 54.9%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
BAY – NEW @ 1.78
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →