Match Villarreal vs FC Copenhagen December 10, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 10 Dec · 17:45
2:3
Full-time
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal
Referee Ivan Kružliak, Slovakia
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.72
✓
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 16.50
✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 17% · book 7.25
✓
xG (open play)
1.94 – 1.50
Δ +0.44
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Villarreal vs FC Copenhagen at Estadio de la Ceramica shapes up as a European night where the Spanish side have a clear edge in overall quality and home strength. Villarreal create more chances than their opponents in a much tougher domestic league and tend to lift their level in front of their own fans, pressing high and attacking aggressively through the wide areas. FC Copenhagen are competitive and dangerous on the break, but they concede plenty of shots and often struggle to control games away from home, especially when pushed deep for long periods. Over ninety minutes this profile points towards Villarreal being more likely to take the win, with the visitors relying on transitions and set pieces. The numbers also support a game with at least a couple of goals and a good chance of both teams scoring, which makes goal markets and carefully chosen handicaps on the underdog interesting options for long-term betting strategies.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
VIL 4-4-2 · COP 4-4-2
📊 Statistics
VIL 2
– 3 COP
1.94
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.50
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
Match recap
FC Copenhagen won 3–2 away at Villarreal. At half-time it was 0–1.
In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 5 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.50 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.60 units (Brier 0.298).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.72 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.72 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
16.50 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
7.25 |
— |
17% |
Cashed |
+6.25 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.79 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.79 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.24 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.24 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.80 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.80 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.77 |
— |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.77 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
4.98 |
— |
20% |
Cashed |
+3.98 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.57 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.54 |
— |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.39 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.75 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.16 |
— |
83% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.20 |
— |
80% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.90 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.14 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
+6.60u |
+39% ROI |