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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Union St. Gilloise — Marseille

Match Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille December 9, 2025

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L L W
Kick-off
Tue 09 Dec · 20:00
2:3
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 37% · book 3.06
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 8% · book 16.00
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.70
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.66 – 1.48
Δ −0.82
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.06 — +13.0% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille looks like a balanced European tie between a very strong home side and a French club with plenty of attacking talent. Union are excellent in their own stadium, defending aggressively and conceding very few clear chances in domestic competition, while still carrying a consistent threat from structured attacks and set pieces. Marseille arrive with a slightly higher overall profile and solid underlying numbers in their league, but their away performances are more volatile and they can leave space in behind when they push numbers forward. Over ninety minutes this should be an intense game with long spells of Union pressing high and Marseille trying to control the ball, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends and also makes positive handicaps on the visitors, as well as goal-based markets, attractive options for betting strategies.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.06 ✗ Lost
AI 37% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

GIL 23 MAR
41%
Possession (%)
59%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.48
8
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
10
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
4
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 3.06 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.70 63% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.65 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
BTTS No 2.56 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 38% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Draw 3.68 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 61% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.43 63% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.34 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.40 36% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.24 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.90 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.76 36% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.27u −19% ROI
Best bet of the night · Home Win
GIL – MAR @ 3.06
+13.0%
Edge
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