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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Monaco — Galatasaray

Predictions by Market: Monaco vs Galatasaray

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Tue 09 Dec · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
L W L W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
38%
Best 1.98
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
VALUE
Away Win · GAL
38%
Best 3.56
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.34
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.34 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (54%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Value pick
Probability 38%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 38%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 38%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MON – GAL @ 2.34
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →