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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Bayern München — Sporting CP

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs Sporting CP

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W W L D
Kick-off
Tue 09 Dec · 17:45
3:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W L W L D Away · last 5
Allianz Arena · Munich Referee Nick Walsh, Scotland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
73%
Best 1.25
Draw
15%
Best 6.70
Away Win · SPO
12%
Best 11.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 4.21
Fair odds
3.66
book 4.21 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 27% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (88%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 15.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 54.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 98%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2%
Odds 25.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 27.3%
Odds 4.21
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – SPO @ 4.21
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →