Match Sporting CP vs Club Brugge KV November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisboa
Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 63% · book 1.60
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 45% · book 2.27
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 21% · book 4.90
✗
xG (open play)
1.75 – 0.83
Δ +0.92
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Sporting CP host Club Brugge in Lisbon in a high-tempo European clash where the Portuguese champions look stronger overall, especially at home. Sporting regularly control games domestically, create plenty of chances and rarely concede many, while Club Brugge arrive with a dangerous but sometimes vulnerable style that can leave gaps at the back. Our football prediction leans towards a Sporting win in a match with several goals and a good chance that both teams get on the scoresheet. From a betting tips perspective, the safest angles are on Sporting in the draw-no-bet market and goal-based options such as over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals, while the big-price away win and double-chance X2 appeal only to more aggressive bettors who like backing high odds with modest probabilities.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
SPO 4-2-3-1 · CLU 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
SPO 3
– 0 CLU
1.75
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.83
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
Match recap
Sporting CP beat Club Brugge KV 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.75 to 0.83. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.78 units (Brier 0.127).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.60 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.27 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
4.90 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.65 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.65 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.72 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.35 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.50 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.75 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.75 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.51 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.19 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.19 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.22 |
— |
79% |
Cashed |
+0.22 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.57 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.45 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.30 |
— |
73% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.50 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.50 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
5% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−4.78u |
−28% ROI |