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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Pafos — Monaco

Predictions by Market: Pafos vs Monaco

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Pafos
Pafos
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 17:45
2:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W L D L D Away · last 5
Alphamega Stadium · Limassol Referee Ivan Kružliak, Slovakia

Outcome probabilities

VALUE
Home Win · PAP
22%
Best 6.33
Draw
24%
Best 4.33
Away Win · MON
54%
Best 1.52
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.40 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (78%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Longshot value
Probability 22%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 54%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 46%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
PAP – MON @ 2.40
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →