Inter beat Kairat Almaty 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.10 to 0.15. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 6 landed and 13 missed, for a net -9.25 units (Brier 0.118).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 2.50 | — | 55% | Cashed | +1.50 | Cashed |
| Draw | 17.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 55.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.92 | — | 28% | Cashed | +1.92 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.44 | — | 72% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.05 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 11.00 | — | 15% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.20 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.20 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 4.50 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 1.58 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.07 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.07 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 34.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.01 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 29.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -1 | 1.06 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -2 | 1.22 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -1 | 6.15 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -2 | 4.15 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 13.00 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 6 W · 13 L | −9.25u | −49% ROI |
