Match Juventus vs Sporting CP November 4, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.11 — +11.0% better than the market.

Juventus at home usually play compact and direct, but Sporting arrive with sharper form and more punch in wide areas. Expect a tactical game with steady tempo and enough chances for 2–3 goals. Safer angles lean toward the hosts avoiding defeat, while the long-price handicap on Sporting carries upset equity.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.11 ✗ Lost

AI 27% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JUV 3-4-2-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1

JUV · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · SPO

9 Vlahović

📊 Statistics

JUV 1 – 1 SPO

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Juventus and Sporting CP drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.53 to 0.21. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 4, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 22 graded markets, 10 landed and 12 missed, for a net +0.73 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

22 · 10 W · 12 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
AH Away +1	7.20	—	26%	Cashed	+6.20	Cashed
Away Win	4.11	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.94	—	52%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.71	—	56%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Home Win	1.97	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	68%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.08	—	46%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.90	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.02	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	73%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	2.77	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.03	—	91%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.30	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away -1	1.48	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away -2	1.12	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 22 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	10 W · 12 L	+0.73u	+3% ROI