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Home World UEFA Champions League Napoli — Eintracht Frankfurt

Match Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt November 4, 2025 — Result and Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Tue 04 Nov · 17:45
0:0
Full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
D L L L L Away · last 5
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Napoli Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 27% · book 5.33
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 52% · book 2.42
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 72% · book 1.64
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.91 – 0.36
Δ +1.55
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
7 / 20
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 4.49 — +12.0% better than the market.

Napoli are favorites at home, but Frankfurt’s direct style and transition threat keep this closer than the market suggests. Expect a measured tempo early, plenty of duels in midfield, and value on selective contrarian angles (draw/Frankfurt cover, low totals thresholds).
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 4.49 ✓ Cashed
AI 25% Implied 22% +3.49u
+349%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

NAP 00 EIN
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.36
18
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
2
13
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
10
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Napoli and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.36. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 3 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 20 graded markets, 7 landed and 13 missed, for a net -4.48 units (Brier 0.219).

Bet recap · markets settled

20 · 7 W · 13 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 5.33 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.42 52% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.64 72% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Draw 4.49 25% Cashed +3.49 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.46 45% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
BTTS No 2.31 48% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.04 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.65 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.58 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +1 1.01 92% Cashed +0.01 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.46 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.26 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.66 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -1 2.04 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -2 4.26 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away -1 1.87 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away -2 1.25 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 90% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 73% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Total · 20 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 13 L −4.48u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
NAP – EIN @ 4.49
+12.0%
Edge
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