Match Villarreal vs Juventus October 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.35 — +12.0% better than the market.

Villarreal and Juventus are closely matched with a slight edge to Villarreal at home. Villarreal's recent home form is strong, while Juventus has been steady away. Expect a competitive game with goals likely from both sides. The home team has a moderate advantage, but Juventus can challenge for a draw or win. Goals should be over 2.5 with both teams scoring.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.35 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VIL 4-3-3 · JUV 3-4-2-1

VIL · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · JUV

17 Buchanan

Subs used · VIL

64'

Oluwaseyi ↑ ·

Parejo ↓

64'

Moleiro ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

76'

Akhomach ↑ ·

Mikautadze ↓

76'

Cardona ↑ ·

Pedraza ↓

Subs used · JUV

16'

Mário ↑ ·

Cabal ↓

46'

Conceição ↑ ·

Koopmeiners ↓

79'

Rugani ↑ ·

Cambiaso ↓

80'

Adžić ↑ ·

Yıldız ↓

86'

Vlahović ↑ ·

David ↓

📊 Statistics

VIL 2 – 2 JUV

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 2

▮

Juan Cabal

Yellow Card

16'

⇄

João Mário ↓ · Juan Cabal ↑

Substitution 1

Georges Mikautadze

Assist · Nicolas Pépé · 1–0

⚽

18'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

Francisco Conceição ↓ · Teun Koopmeiners ↑

Substitution 2

49'

⚽

Federico Gatti

Assist · Lloyd Kelly · 1–1

56'

⚽

Francisco Conceição

1–2

Tani Oluwaseyi ↓ · Dani Parejo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Alberto Moleiro ↓ · Tajon Buchanan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

Ilias Akhomach ↓ · Georges Mikautadze ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

Sergi Cardona ↓ · Alfonso Pedraza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

77'

▮

Andrea Cambiaso

Yellow Card

79'

⇄

Daniele Rugani ↓ · Andrea Cambiaso ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

Vasilije Adžić ↓ · Kenan Yıldız ↑

Substitution 4

Ilias Akhomach

Yellow Card

▮

85'

86'

⇄

Dušan Vlahović ↓ · Jonathan David ↑

Substitution 5

Renato Veiga

Assist · Ilias Akhomach · 2–2

⚽

90'

90+6'

▮

Francisco Conceição

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Villarreal and Juventus drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Georges Mikautadze (18'), Federico Gatti (49'), Francisco Conceição (56'), Renato Veiga (90').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 0 landed and 5 missed, for a net -5.00 units (Brier 0.257).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 0 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.35	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.81	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -0.5	2.31	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.89	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Team Total Under 0.5	3.00	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	0 W · 5 L	−5.00u	−100% ROI