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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Napoli — Sporting CP

Match Napoli vs Sporting CP October 1, 2025

Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 01 Oct · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W L W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Napoli Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 3.10
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.88
Miss
AH Home -1
AH Home -1
AI 41% · book 2.59
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.80 – 1.29
Δ −0.49
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
3 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Napoli and Sporting CP both show strong recent form, with Sporting slightly ahead in momentum. Sporting has a quality edge and a more efficient attack, but Napoli benefits from playing at home and a solid defensive setup. The match is expected to be competitive with a slight lean towards a home win. Goals are likely, with both teams having the ability to score. The best value bets focus on Napoli to win or avoid defeat, and on both teams scoring.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAP 4-1-4-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NAP
69' Lang ↑ · McTominay
69' Neres ↑ · Politano
81' Gilmour ↑ · Bruyne
81' Olivera ↑ · Gutiérrez
90' Lucca ↑ · Højlund
Subs used · SPO
46' Suárez ↑ · Catamo
46' Gonçalves ↑ · Trincão
67' Santos ↑ · Ioannidis
67' Debast ↑ · Quaresma
78' Morita ↑ · Simões

📊 Statistics

NAP 21 SPO
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.29
12
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
9
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

13 · 2 – 1
Rasmus Højlund
Assist · Kevin De Bruyne · 1–0
36'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Luis Javier Suárez ↓ · Geny Catamo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Pedro Gonçalves ↓ · Francisco Trincão ↑
Substitution 2
62'
Luis Javier Suárez (P)
Penalty · 1–1
67'
Alisson Santos ↓ · Fotis Ioannidis ↑
Substitution 3
67'
Zeno Debast ↓ · Eduardo Quaresma ↑
Substitution 4
Noa Lang ↓ · Scott McTominay ↑
Substitution 1
69'
David Neres ↓ · Matteo Politano ↑
Substitution 2
69'
78'
Hidemasa Morita ↓ · João Simões ↑
Substitution 5
Rasmus Højlund
Assist · Kevin De Bruyne · 2–1
79'
Billy Gilmour ↓ · Kevin De Bruyne ↑
Substitution 3
81'
Mathías Olivera ↓ · Miguel Gutiérrez ↑
Substitution 4
81'
Lorenzo Lucca ↓ · Rasmus Højlund ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 3.10 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.88 58% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
AH Home -1 2.59 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 61% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Home Win 1.90 55% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 2 L +0.53u +11% ROI