Match Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Club October 1, 2025
Kick-off
Wed 01 Oct · 19:00
4:1
Full-time
SIGNAL IDUNA PARK · Dortmund
Referee Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Miss
Away Team Total Under 0.5
Away Team Total Under 0.5
AI 42% · book 2.75
✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.88
✓
Hit
AH Home -0.5
AH Home -0.5
AI 60% · book 1.87
✓
xG (open play)
1.08 – 0.96
Δ +0.12
AI accuracy
3 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 1.88 — +13.0% better than the market.
Borussia Dortmund shows clear superiority in quality and recent form, especially at home, while Athletic Club struggles with poor away form and lower attacking threat. Expect Dortmund to control the game and likely secure a home win. Both teams have scoring potential, so a match with goals is probable. The best betting options focus on Dortmund's victory, both teams scoring, and over 2.5 goals.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.88
✓ Cashed
AI 60%
Implied 53%
+0.88u
⛀ Lineups
DOR 3-4-2-1 · BIL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
DOR 4
– 1 BIL
1.08
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.96
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
⏱ Match events
18 · 4 – 1
Daniel Svensson
Assist · Karim Adeyemi · 1–0
⚽
28'
43'
▮
Aitor Paredes
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
Aymeric Laporte ↓ · Daniel Vivian ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta ↓ · Mikel Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ · Iñaki Williams ↑
Substitution 3
Carney Chukwuemeka
Assist · Serhou Guirassy · 2–0
⚽
50'
59'
▮
Andoni Gorosabel
Yellow Card
Maximilian Beier ↓ · Karim Adeyemi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
Julian Brandt ↓ · Carney Chukwuemeka ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
63'
⇄
Nico Serrano ↓ · Unai Gómez ↑
Substitution 4
Felix Nmecha ↓ · Jobe Bellingham ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
Nico Schlotterbeck ↓ · Niklas Süle ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
80'
⇄
Ibon Sánchez ↓ · Maroan Sannadi ↑
Substitution 5
Serhou Guirassy
Assist · Marcel Sabitzer · 3–1
⚽
82'
Fábio Silva ↓ · Serhou Guirassy ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
Maximilian Beier
Yellow Card
▮
89'
Julian Brandt
Assist · Maximilian Beier · 4–1
⚽
90+1'
Full-time · 4 – 1
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
5 · 3 W · 2 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Team Total Under 0.5 |
2.75 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.88 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.88 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -0.5 |
1.87 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.87 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.25 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 5 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
3 W · 2 L |
+0.00u |
+0% ROI |
