Match Sunderland vs Burnley February 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.72 — +13.1% better than the market.

Sunderland holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Burnley's leaky backline, suggesting Sunderland can control the game tempo at Stadium of Light. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat may exploit Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities.

Home advantage with a compact defensive block
Burnley's struggles to convert chances away
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.72 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 5-4-1 · BUR 3-4-2-1

SUN · 5-4-1 3-4-2-1 · BUR

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

80'

Geertruida ↑ ·

Diarra ↓

80'

Mundle ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

80'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

86'

O'Nien ↑ ·

Alderete ↓

Subs used · BUR

46'

Laurent ↑ ·

Tuanzebe ↓

63'

Flemming ↑ ·

Florentino ↓

63'

Broja ↑ ·

Foster ↓

69'

Tchaouna ↑ ·

Edwards ↓

80'

Bruun Larsen ↑ ·

Anthony ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 3 – 0 BUR

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 0

A. Tuanzebe

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

H. Diarra

2–0

⚽

32'

45'

▮

Lesley Ugochukwu

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

J. Laurent ↓ · A. Tuanzebe ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

Z. Flemming ↓ · Florentino ↑

Substitution 2

63'

⇄

A. Broja ↓ · L. Foster ↑

Substitution 3

Trai Hume

Yellow Card

▮

67'

▮

Martin Dúbravka

Yellow Card

69'

⇄

L. Tchaouna ↓ · M. Edwards ↑

Substitution 4

70'

▮

Jaidon Anthony

Yellow Card

C. Talbi

Assist · R. Mandava · 3–0

⚽

72'

L. Geertruida ↓ · H. Diarra ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

80'

R. Mundle ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

⇄

J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · J. Anthony ↑

Substitution 5

L. O'Nien ↓ · O. Alderete ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

90+1'

▮

Kyle Walker

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.72	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.79	—	61%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
BTTS No	1.76	—	61%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.17	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.14	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.30	—	34%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.02	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	84%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	60%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.33	—	61%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	86%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.38	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.35	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.89	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.86u	−29% ROI