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Home › England › Premier League › Chelsea — West Ham

Predictions by Market: Chelsea vs West Ham

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 17:30
3:2
Full-time
West Ham
West Ham
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Anthony Taylor, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CHE
68%
Best 1.57
Draw
21%
Best 4.45
Away Win · WES
12%
Best 5.30
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
4.93
book 5.50 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.42
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.8%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 5.06
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CHE – WES @ 5.50
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →