Match Lorient vs Le Havre May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Lorient holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Le Havre, who struggle to convert draws into wins. Lorient's attacking play is likely to test Le Havre's defense, while their compact block and recent form suggest control in midfield. The pace hints at a balanced tempo, favoring a tactical, measured game.

Home side's offensive edge versus away defense
Stronger recent form and home confidence
Moderate goal environment with potential for tight moments

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · HAV 4-2-3-1

LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · HAV

12 Dieng ⚽

Subs used · LOR

66'

Avom ↑ ·

Abergel ↓

67'

Karim ↑ ·

Makengo ↓

67'

Tosin ↑ ·

Pagis ↓

73'

Meite ↑ ·

Adjei ↓

81'

Soumano ↑ ·

Dieng ↓

Subs used · HAV

46'

Pembele ↑ ·

K. Vinette ↓

73'

Ebonog ↑ ·

Kechta ↓

73'

Nego ↑ ·

Doucoure ↓

85'

Mambimbi ↑ ·

Boufal ↓

90+3'

Gomis ↑ ·

Sangante ↓

📊 Statistics

LOR 0 – 2 HAV

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 2

33'

⚽

A. Faye

Own goal · 0–1

L. Abergel

Yellow Card

▮

41'

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

T. Pembele ↓ · E. K. Vinette ↑

Substitution 1

45+2'

▮

E. K. Vinette

Yellow Card

B. Dieng (P)

Penalty · Assist · B. Dieng · 1–1

⚽

45+5'

N. Cadiou

Yellow Card

▮

53'

62'

⚽

I. Soumare

Assist · S. Boufal · 1–2

A. Avom ↓ · L. Abergel ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

D. Karim ↓ · J. Makengo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

A. Tosin ↓ · P. Pagis ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

73'

⇄

S. Ebonog ↓ · Y. Kechta ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

L. Nego ↓ · F. Doucoure ↑

Substitution 3

B. Meite ↓ · N. Adjei ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

S. Soumano ↓ · B. Dieng ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

85'

⇄

F. Mambimbi ↓ · S. Boufal ↑

Substitution 4

90+3'

⇄

G. Gomis ↓ · A. Sangante ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Le Havre won 2–0 away at Lorient. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Faye (33'), I. Soumare (62').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.05 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.73	2.62	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	2.11	50%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.98	1.91	53%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	1.91	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.99	1.95	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.69	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.65	2.62	29%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.95	1.95	29%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.54	1.44	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	1.47	55%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	3.75	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.50	10.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	1.36	74%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.68	3.50	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	1.25	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	3.10	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.05u	−18% ROI