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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Lens

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs Lens

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 19:00
0:4
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee F. Letexier

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
47%
Best 1.73
Draw
22%
Best 4.46
Away Win · LEN
31%
Best 4.72
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.14
Fair odds
1.87
book 2.14 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.36
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LYO – LEN @ 2.14
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →