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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Auxerre

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Auxerre

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Referee W. Delajod

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
72%
Best 1.46
Draw
20%
Best 4.82
Away Win · AUX
9%
Best 8.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.50 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.5%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.5%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.5%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LIL – AUX @ 4.50
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →