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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Monaco — Lille

Predictions by Market: Monaco vs Lille

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
40%
Best 2.59
Draw
24%
Best 3.81
Away Win · LIL
37%
Best 2.72
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.92
Fair odds
2.72
book 2.92 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.5%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MON – LIL @ 2.92
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →