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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Stade Brestois 29

Predictions by Market: Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D L L L D Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Jérôme Brisard, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSG
81%
Best 1.24
Draw
14%
Best 7.70
Away Win · BRE
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.30
Fair odds
3.08
book 3.30 · +7.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +7.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 81%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5%
Odds 9.60
Show model details
Implied probability 10.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19%
Odds 5.15
Show model details
Implied probability 19.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PSG – BRE @ 3.30
+7.2%
Edge
Forecast →