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Home France Ligue 1 Metz — Monaco

Predictions Metz vs Monaco May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Ruddy Buquet, France
Home Win · MET
11%
Best 7.90
Draw
19%
Best 6.04
Away Win · MON
70%
Best 1.38
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.50 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +5.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (58%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 11%
Odds 6.96
Show model details
Implied probability 14.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 11%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 29.6%
Odds 2.96
Show model details
Implied probability 33.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MET – MON @ 2.50
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →