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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Metz — Monaco

Predictions by Market: Metz vs Monaco

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Ruddy Buquet, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MET
11%
Best 7.90
Draw
19%
Best 6.04
Away Win · MON
70%
Best 1.38
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.50 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +5.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (58%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 11%
Odds 6.96
Show model details
Implied probability 14.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 11%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 29.6%
Odds 2.96
Show model details
Implied probability 33.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MET – MON @ 2.50
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →