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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Nantes — Marseille

Match Nantes vs Marseille May 2, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Nantes
Nantes
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 13:00
3:0
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stade de la Beaujoire · Nantes Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 63% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.34
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.25
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
3.00 – 1.72
Δ +1.28
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Nantes' defensive solidity at home could keep the game tight, but Marseille's sharper attack and overall strength hint at a likely away win. The match may see a moderate pace given the balanced goal expectations, with Marseille's pressing and offensive threat testing Nantes' compact block.

  • Marseille's superior quality and form advantage
  • Nantes' home defensive resilience
  • Moderate tempo with tactical pressing from Marseille

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAN 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-3-3
Subs used · NAN
26' Acapandie ↑ · Machado
69' Leroux ↑ · Cabella
69' Coquelin ↑ · Kaba
79' Radakovic ↑ · Sissoko
79' Youssef ↑ · Guilbert
Subs used · MAR
46' Lago ↑ · Aubameyang
46' Paixao ↑ · Timber
65' Gouiri ↑ · Vermeeren
88' Hamzaoui ↑ · Balerdi
90+4' Lamare El Kadmiri ↑ · J. Traore

📊 Statistics

NAN 30 MAR
42%
Possession (%)
58%
3.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.72
16
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
8
8
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
3
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 3 – 0
M. Abline
Yellow Card
18'
M. Acapandie ↓ · D. Machado ↑
Substitution 1
26'
31'
Q. Timber
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
E. Lago ↓ · P. Aubameyang ↑
Substitution 1
46'
I. Paixao ↓ · Q. Timber ↑
Substitution 2
49'
E. Lago
Yellow Card
I. Ganago
Assist · M. Abline · 1–0
50'
R. Cabella
Assist · I. Ganago · 2–0
54'
M. Abline
Assist · M. Kaba · 3–0
58'
65'
A. Gouiri ↓ · A. Vermeeren ↑
Substitution 3
L. Leroux ↓ · R. Cabella ↑
Substitution 2
69'
F. Coquelin ↓ · M. Kaba ↑
Substitution 3
69'
U. Radakovic ↓ · I. Sissoko ↑
Substitution 4
79'
Ali Youssef ↓ · F. Guilbert ↑
Substitution 5
79'
81'
F. Medina
Yellow Card
88'
H. Hamzaoui ↓ · L. Balerdi ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
U. Lamare El Kadmiri ↓ · H. J. Traore ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.75 1.74 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.34 2.38 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 2.27 46% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 1.60 55% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.58 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 2.50 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.20 2.05 37% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 1.22 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 1.52 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.30 1.32 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 14.93 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.01 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.27 4.05 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 77% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Home Win 5.00 4.35 15% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.45 3.26 15% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.33u +8% ROI