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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Rennes

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs Rennes

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 18:45
4:2
Full-time
Rennes
Rennes
W W L W L Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Saint-Denis Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
41%
Best 2.18
Draw
24%
Best 3.88
Away Win · REN
35%
Best 3.33
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.21
Fair odds
2.85
book 3.21 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (41%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.21
Show model details
Implied probability 31.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – REN @ 3.21
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →