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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Monaco

Match Toulouse vs Monaco April 25, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 19:05
2:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Clement Turpin, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.05
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.68
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 2.63
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.64 – 0.96
Δ +0.68
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge Toulouse's compact defense. Despite Toulouse's recent home wins, Monaco's pressing and attacking efficiency could exploit gaps, especially given their better form momentum. The match hints at a moderately open pace, with both sides capable of creating chances but Monaco likely to hold the upper hand.

  • Monaco's superior attacking index versus Toulouse's defense
  • Toulouse's recent home resilience but overall lower quality
  • Balanced pace favoring an engaging contest with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOU 3-4-2-1 · MON 3-4-2-1
Subs used · TOU
74' Emersonn ↑ · Russell-Rowe
79' Sauer ↑ · Vossah
79' Azizi ↑ · Hidalgo
90+1' Kamanzi ↑ · Methalie
90+1' Vignolo ↑ · Demba
Subs used · MON
61' Golovin ↑ · Fati
75' Dier ↑ · Akliouche
84' Pogba ↑ · Adingra
84' Biereth ↑ · Balogun

📊 Statistics

TOU 22 MON
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.64
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.96
18
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
2
17
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 2 – 2
6'
J. Teze
Assist · S. Adingra · 0–1
18'
L. Camara
Assist · M. Akliouche · 0–2
Charlie Cresswell
Yellow Card
31'
Half-time · 0 – 2
61'
A. Golovin ↓ · A. Fati ↑
Substitution 1
J. Russell-Rowe
Assist · D. Methalie · 1–2
61'
62'
Christian Mawissa
Yellow Card
Rasmus Nicolaisen
Yellow Card
66'
Emersonn ↓ · J. Russell-Rowe ↑
Substitution 1
74'
75'
Lukáš Hrádecký
Yellow Card
75'
E. Dier ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑
Substitution 2
M. Sauer ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 2
79'
I. Azizi ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 3
79'
84'
P. Pogba ↓ · S. Adingra ↑
Substitution 3
84'
M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 4
Emersonn
2–2
90'
W. Kamanzi ↓ · D. Methalie ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
J. Vignolo ↓ · P. Demba ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
Mario Sauer
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.05 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.68 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.63 36% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
BTTS No 2.30 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.73 45% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.52 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.30 79% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.51 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.30 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.40 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.26u −13% ROI