P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Marseille — Nice
France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D D D L D Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Willy Delajod, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.72
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.70
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.30
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.08 – 1.46
Δ +0.62
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille holds a clear quality edge over Nice, boosted by a strong home momentum and a potent attack that outmatches Nice's defense. Their recent form shows signs of resilience despite some inconsistency, while Nice struggles to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. The pace is likely moderate, favoring Marseille's compact block and set-piece threat.

  • Home advantage with attacking superiority
  • Nice's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo suits Marseille's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MAR 3-5-1-1 · NIC 5-4-1
Subs used · MAR
62' Mmadi ↑ · Emerson
63' Greenwood ↑ · Vermeeren
80' Kamissoko ↑ · Nnadi
81' Abdelli ↑ · Timber
Subs used · NIC
46' Diop ↑ · Sanson
67' Boudache ↑ · Cho
81' Abdi ↑ · Bard
81' Kevin ↑ · Abdul Samed
90+1' Vanhoutte ↑ · Wahi

📊 Statistics

MAR 11 NIC
69%
Possession (%)
31%
2.08
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.46
24
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Target
2
12
Shots off Target
2
18
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
7
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
4
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Emerson
Yellow Card
29'
Facundo Medina
Yellow Card
44'
44'
Elye Wahi
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
S. Diop ↓ · M. Sanson ↑
Substitution 1
T. Mmadi ↓ · Emerson ↑
Substitution 1
62'
M. Greenwood ↓ · A. Vermeeren ↑
Substitution 2
63'
P. Hojbjerg
Assist · T. Nnadi · 1–0
66'
67'
K. Boudache ↓ · M. Cho ↑
Substitution 2
N. Kamissoko ↓ · T. Nnadi ↑
Substitution 3
80'
H. Abdelli ↓ · Q. Timber ↑
Substitution 4
81'
81'
A. Abdi ↓ · M. Bard ↑
Substitution 3
81'
Kevin ↓ · S. Abdul Samed ↑
Substitution 4
Timothy Weah
Yellow Card
86'
Geronimo Rulli
Yellow Card
87'
88'
E. Wahi (P)
Penalty · 1–1
90+1'
C. Vanhoutte ↓ · E. Wahi ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.72 59% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.70 38% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
BTTS No 2.30 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.14 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.62 32% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Home Win 1.47 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.13 88% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.43 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.55 57% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.18 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.65 20% Cashed +3.65 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 82% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.95 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.48 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.49u −3% ROI