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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Auxerre

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs Auxerre

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 13:00
3:2
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Saint-Denis Referee R. Buquet

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
63%
Best 1.67
Draw
23%
Best 4.32
Away Win · AUX
14%
Best 5.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.39
book 3.60 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 14%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LYO – AUX @ 3.60
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →