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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Nantes

Predictions by Market: Auxerre vs Nantes

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Willy Delajod, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUX
44%
Best 1.91
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · NAN
30%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.68
book 2.90 · +8.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +8.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 17.4%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AUX – NAN @ 2.90
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →