Match Burnley vs Tottenham January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +14.1% better than the market.

Burnley hosts Tottenham at Turf Moor in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Tottenham's stronger attack faces Burnley's solid defense, but the home side's recent form shows resilience with draws, while Spurs have been inconsistent. The tactical battle may lean on Burnley's compact block and set-piece threat to contain Tottenham's pressing edge.

Tottenham's offensive edge versus Burnley's defense suggests scoring chances.
Burnley's home momentum and defensive discipline could limit goals.
Recent form favors a cautious encounter with moderate pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BUR 3-4-2-1 · TOT 3-4-2-1

BUR · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · TOT

27 Broja

Subs used · BUR

69'

Foster ↑ ·

Broja ↓

69'

Laurent ↑ ·

Florentino ↓

85'

Mejbri ↑ ·

Edwards ↓

Subs used · TOT

46'

Udogie ↑ ·

Porro ↓

78'

Tel ↑ ·

Danso ↓

78'

Gray ↑ ·

Bissouma ↓

85'

Scarlett ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

90+5'

Dragusin ↑ ·

Romero ↓

📊 Statistics

BUR 2 – 2 TOT

37%

Possession (%)

63%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.29

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 2

38'

⚽

M. van de Ven

0–1

A. Tuanzebe

Assist · K. Walker · 1–1

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 1

46'

⇄

D. Udogie ↓ · P. Porro ↑

Substitution 1

L. Foster ↓ · A. Broja ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

J. Laurent ↓ · Florentino ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

L. Foster

2–1

⚽

76'

78'

⇄

M. Tel ↓ · K. Danso ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

A. Gray ↓ · Y. Bissouma ↑

Substitution 3

Josh Laurent

Yellow Card

▮

79'

H. Mejbri ↓ · M. Edwards ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

⇄

D. Scarlett ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⚽

C. Romero

Assist · W. Odobert · 2–2

90+5'

⇄

R. Dragusin ↓ · C. Romero ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Burnley and Tottenham drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.29 to 1.44. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 11 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. van de Ven (38'), A. Tuanzebe (45'), L. Foster (76'), C. Romero (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.23 units (Brier 0.265).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.10	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.83	—	45%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.84	—	44%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.08	—	39%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.71	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.32	—	81%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.54	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.53	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.58	—	26%	Cashed	+2.58	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	65%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Home Win	3.88	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.70	—	20%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.23u	−1% ROI