Match Nice vs Le Havre April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +8.8% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 51% +0.95u

+95%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NIC 3-5-2 · HAV 3-4-1-2

NIC · 3-5-2 3-4-1-2 · HAV

11 Wahi

Subs used · NIC

75'

Diop ↑ ·

Vanhoutte ↓

81'

Kevin ↑ ·

Cho ↓

81'

Louchet ↑ ·

Abdi ↓

90+1'

Jansson ↑ ·

Wahi ↓

Subs used · HAV

70'

Boufal ↑ ·

Doucoure ↓

71'

Pembele ↑ ·

Ebonog ↓

85'

Nego ↑ ·

Zouaoui ↓

87'

Zagadou ↑ ·

Samatta ↓

📊 Statistics

NIC 1 – 1 HAV

46%

Possession (%)

54%

2.03

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 1

Elye Wahi

Yellow Card

▮

41'

⚽

A. Samatta

Assist · R. Ndiaye · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

50'

▮

Fodé Doucouré

Yellow Card

A. Abdi

1–1

⚽

59'

70'

⇄

S. Boufal ↓ · F. Doucoure ↑

Substitution 1

71'

⇄

T. Pembele ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑

Substitution 2

S. Diop ↓ · C. Vanhoutte ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

75'

Kevin ↓ · M. Cho ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

T. Louchet ↓ · A. Abdi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

85'

⇄

L. Nego ↓ · Y. Zouaoui ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

S. Zagadou ↓ · A. Samatta ↑

Substitution 4

I. Jansson ↓ · E. Wahi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Nice and Le Havre drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2.

On the scoresheet: A. Samatta (41'), A. Abdi (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.73 units (Brier 0.170).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.98	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.95	—	56%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	2.07	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	48%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.93	—	41%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.42	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.78	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	85%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	77%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	70%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.90	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.47	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.73u	−16% ROI