Match Metz vs Nantes April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +9.4% better than the market.

Metz hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Metz’s defensive struggles contrast with Nantes’ more solid backline, suggesting a tactical battle focused on containment. The home side’s attacking edge is minimal, and both teams have shown low scoring trends, hinting at a cautious pace and a compact block from Metz.

Nantes’ defensive solidity may stifle Metz’s offense.
Recent form favors Nantes, offering momentum.
Low scoring history suggests a tight, tactical game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 56% +0.80u

+80%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MET 4-2-3-1 · NAN 4-1-4-1

MET · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · NAN

30 Diallo

Subs used · MET

63'

Munongo ↑ ·

Mboula ↓

63'

Mbala ↑ ·

Colin ↓

80'

Michal ↑ ·

Sarr ↓

87'

Abuashvili ↑ ·

Deminguet ↓

Subs used · NAN

46'

Machado ↑ ·

Ganago ↓

46'

Youssef ↑ ·

Centonze ↓

73'

Guirassy ↑ ·

Abline ↓

84'

Sissoko ↑ ·

Coquelin ↓

90+2'

Amian ↑ ·

Kaba ↓

📊 Statistics

MET 0 – 0 NAN

66%

Possession (%)

34%

2.31

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 0

Bouna Sarr

Yellow Card

▮

38'

39'

▮

Tylel Tati

Red Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

D. Machado ↓ · I. Ganago ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

Ali Youssef ↓ · F. Centonze ↑

Substitution 2

63'

▮

Francis Coquelin

Yellow Card

B. Munongo ↓ · U. Mboula ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

N. Mbala ↓ · M. Colin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Believe Munongo

Yellow Card

▮

72'

73'

⇄

B. Guirassy ↓ · M. Abline ↑

Substitution 3

L. Michal ↓ · B. Sarr ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

84'

⇄

I. Sissoko ↓ · F. Coquelin ↑

Substitution 4

G. Abuashvili ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

90+2'

⇄

K. Amian ↓ · M. Kaba ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Metz and Nantes drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.31 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Tylel Tati was sent off in the 39' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.72 units (Brier 0.271).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.80	—	61%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	2.61	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	54%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.22	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.86	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.85	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.13	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	72%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	35%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	55%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	3.01	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	12%	Cashed	+8.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.42	—	27%	Cashed	+2.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.10	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+6.72u	+40% ROI