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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Monaco — Marseille

Match Monaco vs Marseille April 5, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Clement Turpin, France
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.76 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.50 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.65 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.17 – 2.11
Δ −0.94
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Monaco hosts Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum and tactical edges could shape the outcome. Monaco's recent unbeaten run contrasts with Marseille's mixed form, giving the hosts a psychological lift. The home side's defensive solidity may challenge Marseille's slightly superior offensive quality, but Monaco's pressing and compact block at Stade Louis II could limit away chances.

  • Monaco's strong home form and defensive discipline
  • Marseille's offensive edge but inconsistent away results
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MON 3-4-2-1 · MAR 3-4-1-2
MON · 3-4-2-1 3-4-1-2 · MAR 1 Hrádecký 5 Kehrer 6 Zakaria 25 Faes 4 Teze 28 Coulibaly 15 Camara 13 Mawissa 11 Akliouche 10 Golovin ⚽ 9 Balogun ⚽ 1 Rulli 28 Pavard 4 Egan-Riley 32 Medina 22 Weah 27 Timber 23 Højbjerg 14 Paixão 20 Traorè 17 Aubameyang 9 Gouiri ⚽
Subs used · MON
65' Diatta ↑ · Mawissa ↓
65' Bamba ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
75' Fati ↑ · Golovin ↓
84' Biereth ↑ · Balogun ↓
84' Adingra ↑ · Akliouche ↓
Subs used · MAR
73' Nwaneri ↑ · J. Traore ↓
77' Balerdi ↑ · Egan-Riley ↓
89' Emerson ↑ · Weah ↓
89' Abdelli ↑ · Hojbjerg ↓

📊 Statistics

MON 2 – 1 MAR
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.17
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.11
7
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
9
3
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
12
0
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
4
14
Fouls
9
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1
Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
▮
8'
34'
▮
Facundo Medina
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Golovin
Assist · J. Teze · 1–0
⚽
59'
K. Diatta ↓ · C. Mawissa ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
A. Bamba ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
Thilo Kehrer
Yellow Card
▮
70'
73'
⇄
E. Nwaneri ↓ · H. J. Traore ↑
Substitution 1
F. Balogun
2–0
⚽
74'
A. Fati ↓ · A. Golovin ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
77'
⇄
L. Balerdi ↓ · C. Egan-Riley ↑
Substitution 2
M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
84'
S. Adingra ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
85'
⚽
A. Gouiri
Assist · F. Medina · 2–1
87'
▮
Leonardo Balerdi
Yellow Card
89'
⇄
Emerson ↓ · T. Weah ↑
Substitution 3
89'
⇄
H. Abdelli ↓ · P. Hojbjerg ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.76 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.50 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 — 63% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.62 — 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.52 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.48 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.44 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.19 — 38% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.62 — 38% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 3.42 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.51 — 64% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.37 — 63% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 — 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.80u −28% ROI