Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse 3:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.00 — +5.9% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain arrives with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a strong offensive edge against Toulouse's defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite a minor slip, while Toulouse's inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities are evident. The Parc des Princes atmosphere and PSG's pressing style could exploit Toulouse's struggles to contain high-tempo attacks.

PSG's attacking prowess vs Toulouse's defense
Home advantage with solid recent form
Potential for an open game given offensive strengths

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · TOU 3-4-2-1

PSG · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · TOU

7 Kvaratskhelia

Subs used · PSG

59'

Neves ↑ ·

Kang-In ↓

67'

Vitinha ↑ ·

Beraldo ↓

68'

Mendes ↑ ·

Kvaratskhelia ↓

87'

Ramos ↑ ·

Doue ↓

Subs used · TOU

67'

Kamanzi ↑ ·

Methalie ↓

83'

Sauer ↑ ·

Casseres ↓

83'

Azizi ↑ ·

Sidibe ↓

83'

Russell-Rowe ↑ ·

Emersonn ↓

Statistics

PSG 3 – 1 TOU

72%

Possession (%)

28%

1.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 3 – 1

O. Dembele

1–0

⚽

23'

27'

⚽

R. Nicolaisen

Assist · D. Sidibe · 1–1

O. Dembele

Assist · K. Kvaratskhelia · 2–1

⚽

33'

36'

▮

Cristian Cásseres Jr.

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 1

J. Neves ↓ · Lee Kang-In ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

Vitinha ↓ · L. Beraldo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

⇄

W. Kamanzi ↓ · D. Methalie ↑

Substitution 1

N. Mendes ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

83'

⇄

M. Sauer ↓ · C. Casseres ↑

Substitution 2

83'

⇄

I. Azizi ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑

Substitution 3

83'

⇄

J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · Emersonn ↑

Substitution 4

G. Ramos ↓ · D. Doue ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

G. Ramos

Assist · N. Mendes · 3–1

⚽

90'

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain beat Toulouse 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 0.16. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 5, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2.

On the scoresheet: O. Dembele (23'), R. Nicolaisen (27'), O. Dembele (33'), G. Ramos (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.23 units (Brier 0.102).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	53%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.49	—	40%	Cashed	+1.49	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	62%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.63	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.48	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.32	—	76%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.06	—	76%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	6.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	82%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.10	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.74	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	11.40	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.60	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.23u	−31% ROI

Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled