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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Lens

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Lens

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 19:05
3:0
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee François Letexier, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
29%
Best 2.95
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · LEN
45%
Best 2.36
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.15
Fair odds
2.75
book 3.15 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (64%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 29%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LIL – LEN @ 3.15
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →