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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Angers

Predictions by Market: Lens vs Angers

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 20 Mar · 19:45
5:1
Full-time
Angers
Angers
D L L D D Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Stephanie Frappart, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEN
75%
Best 1.22
Draw
18%
Best 6.50
Away Win · ANG
7%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.25
Fair odds
2.21
book 2.25 · +1.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 45% · EV +1.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (55%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.58
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LEN – ANG @ 2.25
+1.8%
Edge
Forecast →