Paris FC vs Le Havre 3:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.35 — +14.5% better than the market.

Paris FC holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Stade Jean Bouin. Their offensive strength matches well against Le Havre's sturdy defense, while recent form shows Paris FC maintaining steady momentum compared to Le Havre's struggles. Expect a compact, disciplined display with limited goal-scoring chances.

Home side's pressing and set-piece threat stand out
Le Havre's defensive resilience may keep the score low
Match likely to favor a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.35 ✗ Lost

AI 34% Implied 30% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · HAV 4-1-3-2

PAR · 4-3-3 4-1-3-2 · HAV

27 Simon

Subs used · PAR

72'

Koleosho ↑ ·

Ikone ↓

73'

Gory ↑ ·

Immobile ↓

84'

Otavio ↑ ·

Simon ↓

Subs used · HAV

42'

Kechta ↑ ·

Mambimbi ↓

42'

Pembele ↑ ·

K. Vinette ↓

75'

Khadra ↑ ·

Boufal ↓

75'

Samatta ↑ ·

Ebonog ↓

90+2'

Kyeremeh ↑ ·

Gourna-Douath ↓

Statistics

PAR 3 – 2 HAV

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.19

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 3 – 2

C. Immobile

Assist · D. Coppola · 1–0

⚽

29'

A. Seko

Own goal · 2–0

⚽

33'

42'

⇄

Y. Kechta ↓ · F. Mambimbi ↑

Substitution 1

42'

⇄

T. Pembele ↓ · E. K. Vinette ↑

Substitution 2

Half-time · 2 – 0

Rudy Matondo

Red Card

▮

55'

61'

⚽

R. Ndiaye

Assist · S. Boufal · 2–1

66'

▮

Simon Ebonog

Yellow Card

L. Koleosho ↓ · J. Ikone ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

A. Gory ↓ · C. Immobile ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

75'

⇄

R. Khadra ↓ · S. Boufal ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

A. Samatta ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑

Substitution 4

Otavio ↓ · M. Simon ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

A. Gory

Assist · P. Lees-Melou · 3–1

⚽

86'

90'

⚽

G. Kyeremeh

3–2

90+2'

⇄

G. Kyeremeh ↓ · L. Gourna-Douath ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Paris FC beat Le Havre 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 15, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: C. Immobile (29'), A. Seko (33'), R. Ndiaye (61'), A. Gory (86'), G. Kyeremeh (90'). Rudy Matondo was sent off in the 55' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.62 units (Brier 0.214).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.11	—	55%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	—	40%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	45%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.35	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	—	55%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	66%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	20%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.02	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.35	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.62u	−10% ROI

Paris FC vs Le Havre 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled