Match Paris FC vs Le Havre March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +9.2% better than the market.

Paris FC holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Stade Jean Bouin. Their offensive strength matches well against Le Havre's sturdy defense, while recent form shows Paris FC maintaining steady momentum compared to Le Havre's struggles. Expect a compact, disciplined display with limited goal-scoring chances.

Home side's pressing and set-piece threat stand out
Le Havre's defensive resilience may keep the score low
Match likely to favor a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · HAV 4-1-3-2

PAR · 4-3-3 4-1-3-2 · HAV

27 Simon

Subs used · PAR

72'

Koleosho ↑ ·

Ikone ↓

73'

Gory ↑ ·

Immobile ↓

84'

Otavio ↑ ·

Simon ↓

Subs used · HAV

42'

Kechta ↑ ·

Mambimbi ↓

42'

Pembele ↑ ·

K. Vinette ↓

75'

Khadra ↑ ·

Boufal ↓

75'

Samatta ↑ ·

Ebonog ↓

90+2'

Kyeremeh ↑ ·

Gourna-Douath ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 3 – 2 HAV

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.19

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 2

C. Immobile

Assist · D. Coppola · 1–0

⚽

29'

A. Seko

Own goal · 2–0

⚽

33'

42'

⇄

Y. Kechta ↓ · F. Mambimbi ↑

Substitution 1

42'

⇄

T. Pembele ↓ · E. K. Vinette ↑

Substitution 2

Half-time · 2 – 0

Rudy Matondo

Red Card

▮

55'

61'

⚽

R. Ndiaye

Assist · S. Boufal · 2–1

66'

▮

Simon Ebonog

Yellow Card

L. Koleosho ↓ · J. Ikone ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

A. Gory ↓ · C. Immobile ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

75'

⇄

R. Khadra ↓ · S. Boufal ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

A. Samatta ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑

Substitution 4

Otavio ↓ · M. Simon ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

A. Gory

Assist · P. Lees-Melou · 3–1

⚽

86'

90'

⚽

G. Kyeremeh

3–2

90+2'

⇄

G. Kyeremeh ↓ · L. Gourna-Douath ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.11	—	55%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	—	40%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	45%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.35	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	—	55%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	66%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	20%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.02	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.35	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.62u	−10% ROI