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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Metz

Predictions by Market: Rennes vs Metz

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 16:15
0:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Bastien Dechepy, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REN
74%
Best 1.30
Draw
19%
Best 5.50
Away Win · MET
8%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.20
Fair odds
4.65
book 5.20 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (79%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.7%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
REN – MET @ 5.20
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →