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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Metz — Toulouse

Match Metz vs Toulouse March 15, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 16:15
3:4
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Gael Angoula, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.05
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.75
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.87
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
1.65 – 1.42
Δ +0.23
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Toulouse enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite recent mixed form. Metz’s defensive resilience at home might keep the scoreline tight, but Toulouse’s ability to exploit defensive gaps could prove decisive.

  • Metz’s home defense is solid but faces a potent Toulouse attack.
  • Toulouse’s recent form shows signs of struggle but quality gap favors them.
  • Moderate pace expected, likely a tactical battle with limited goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MET 4-2-3-1 · TOU 3-4-3
Subs used · MET
70' Diallo ↑ · Mbala
70' Toure ↑ · Deminguet
71' Abuashvili ↑ · Kouao
76' Yegbe ↑ · Mboula
89' Michal ↑ · Sarr
Subs used · TOU
60' Haug ↑ · Restes
64' Emersonn ↑ · Russell-Rowe
65' Sauer ↑ · Vossah
76' Koumbassa ↑ · Hidalgo

📊 Statistics

MET 34 TOU
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.42
17
Total Shots
19
8
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
13
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 3 – 4
6'
A. Donnum
Assist · P. Demba · 0–1
14'
Y. Gboho
Assist · S. Hidalgo · 0–2
N. Mbala
Assist · G. Tsitaishvili · 1–2
30'
K. Kouao
2–2
31'
34'
Alexis Vossah
Yellow Card
45'
Y. Gboho
Assist · W. Kamanzi · 2–3
Half-time · 2 – 3
60'
K. Haug ↓ · G. Restes ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Emersonn ↓ · J. Russell-Rowe ↑
Substitution 2
65'
M. Sauer ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 3
H. Diallo ↓ · N. Mbala ↑
Substitution 1
70'
A. Toure ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 2
70'
G. Abuashvili ↓ · K. Kouao ↑
Substitution 3
71'
T. Yegbe ↓ · U. Mboula ↑
Substitution 4
76'
76'
S. Koumbassa ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 4
G. Abuashvili
3–3
88'
L. Michal ↓ · B. Sarr ↑
Substitution 5
89'
90'
M. Sauer
Assist · A. Donnum · 3–4
90+5'
Warren Kamanzi
Yellow Card
90+11'
Emersonn
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.05 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.75 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.25 41% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 46% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.87 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 82% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 68% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.44 56% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.27 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.48 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 21% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.94 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.16 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.30u −8% ROI