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Home France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Marseille

Predictions Toulouse vs Marseille March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 20:05
0:1
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Bastien Dechepy, France
Home Win · TOU
24%
Best 3.12
Draw
26%
Best 3.44
Away Win · MAR
50%
Best 2.18
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.77
book 3.10 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (64%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 24%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.09
Show model details
Implied probability 24.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 24%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – MAR @ 3.10
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →