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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Nice — Rennes

Nice vs Rennes 0:4: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nice
Nice
Home · last 5 D L D D W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 16:15
0:4
Full-time
Rennes
Rennes
W W L W L Away · last 5
Allianz Riviera · Nice Referee Romain Lissorgue, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.57 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.67 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.34 ✗
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
2.15 – 1.66
Δ +0.49
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.67 — +12.5% better than the market.

Rennes arrive at Allianz Riviera with a clear quality edge and recent winning momentum, despite Nice's home comfort. Rennes' stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled lately, suggesting Rennes can press effectively. However, Nice's compact block and home crowd could limit goals, making this a tactical battle with moderate scoring.

  • Rennes' offensive edge vs Nice's shaky defense
  • Nice's home resilience and pressing potential
  • Recent form favors Rennes but with signs of defensive caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 42% Implied 37% +1.67u
+167%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NIC 4-2-3-1 · REN 4-3-3
Subs used · NIC
18' Dante ↑ · Peprah ↓
46' Boudache ↑ · Boudaoui ↓
46' Kevin ↑ · Cho ↓
70' Gouveia ↑ · Diop ↓
80' Mendy ↑ · Louchet ↓
Subs used · REN
46' Cisse ↑ · Szymanski ↓
70' Blas ↑ · Tamari ↓
70' Embolo ↑ · Lepaul ↓
70' Mukiele ↑ · Nordin ↓
88' Ait Boudlal ↑ · Nagida ↓

Statistics

NIC 0 – 4 REN
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.66
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
9
7
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
8
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 0 – 4
13'
⚽
E. Lepaul
Assist · V. Rongier · 0–1
Dante ↓ · K. Peprah ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
18'
20'
⚽
S. Szymanski
Assist · M. Tamari · 0–2
Dante
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Half-time · 0 – 2
K. Boudache ↓ · H. Boudaoui ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Kevin ↓ · M. Cho ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
D. Cisse ↓ · S. Szymanski ↑
Substitution 1
T. Gouveia ↓ · S. Diop ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
70'
⇄
L. Blas ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
B. Embolo ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
N. Mukiele ↓ · A. Nordin ↑
Substitution 4
74'
⚽
L. Blas
Assist · B. Embolo · 0–3
A. Mendy ↓ · T. Louchet ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
81'
▮
Djaoui Cissé
Yellow Card
Tiago Gouveia
Yellow Card
▮
86'
88'
⇄
A. Ait Boudlal ↓ · M. Nagida ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
N. Mukiele
Assist · V. Rongier · 0–4
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Rennes won 4–0 away at Nice. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.66 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Lepaul (13'), S. Szymanski (20'), L. Blas (74'), N. Mukiele (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.72 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.57 — 48% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
BTTS No 2.67 — 42% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.34 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.70 — 54% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.87 — 48% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.08 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.47 — 73% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.90 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.21 — 77% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.72u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
NIC – REN @ 2.67
+12.5%
Edge
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