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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Lorient

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Lorient

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 16:15
1:1
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Referee Abdelatif Kherradji, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
65%
Best 1.51
Draw
22%
Best 4.25
Away Win · LOR
12%
Best 6.40
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.11
book 3.40 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 12.4%
Odds 5.94
Show model details
Implied probability 16.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 12.4%
Odds 4.46
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LIL – LOR @ 3.40
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →