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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Le Havre — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions by Market: Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D D D L W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 20:05
0:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade Océane · Le Havre Referee Marc Bollengier, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAV
7%
Best 9.80
Draw
16%
Best 6.05
Away Win · PSG
77%
Best 1.27
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.50
Fair odds
5.84
book 6.50 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +11.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (83%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.8%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.7%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HAV – PSG @ 6.50
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →