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Home France Ligue 1 Marseille — Lyon

Predictions Marseille vs Lyon March 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 19:45
3:2
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee J. Brisard
Home Win · MAR
57%
Best 2.00
Draw
24%
Best 3.53
Away Win · LYO
19%
Best 3.70
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.01
Fair odds
1.75
book 2.01 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +14.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 57.1%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 19%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.