Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille February 20, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.87 — +11.7% better than the market.

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge over Brest, boasting a stronger offensive profile and a slightly better defensive setup. Brest's home momentum is moderate but their defensive frailties could be exposed by Marseille's pressing and attacking threat. The recent form slightly favors Brest, but Marseille's superior firepower and tactical discipline suggest an open game with goals likely.

Marseille's attacking edge against Brest's defense
Brest's home form offers some resistance
Expect a lively pace with goal-scoring chances for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-1-4-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · MAR

19 Ajorque ⚽

Subs used · BRE

73'

Labeau Lascary ↑ ·

Dina Ebimbe ↓

79'

Tousart ↑ ·

Doumbia ↓

88'

Locko ↑ ·

Del Castillo ↓

Subs used · MAR

46'

Aubameyang ↑ ·

Vermeeren ↓

71'

Nwaneri ↑ ·

Gouiri ↓

71'

J. Traore ↑ ·

Paixao ↓

79'

Abdelli ↑ ·

Timber ↓

87'

Nadir ↑ ·

Hojbjerg ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 0 MAR

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 0

L. Ajorque

1–0

⚽

10'

L. Ajorque

Assist · H. Magnetti · 2–0

⚽

29'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

P. Aubameyang ↓ · A. Vermeeren ↑

Substitution 1

67'

▮

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Yellow Card

Ludovic Ajorque

Yellow Card

▮

71'

⇄

E. Nwaneri ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

H. J. Traore ↓ · I. Paixao ↑

Substitution 3

R. Labeau Lascary ↓ · J. Dina Ebimbe ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

78'

▮

Quinten Timber

Yellow Card

L. Tousart ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

⇄

H. Abdelli ↓ · Q. Timber ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

B. Nadir ↓ · P. Hojbjerg ↑

Substitution 5

B. Locko ↓ · R. Del Castillo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

89'

▮

Ethan Nwaneri

Yellow Card

90+5'

▮

Bilal Nadir

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.87	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.72	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	40%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	40%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.90	—	43%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.07	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.29	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.41	—	62%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.45	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.78	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.92	—	18%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.00	—	18%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.90	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.13u	−1% ROI