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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Monaco — Nantes

Match Monaco vs Nantes February 13, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Feb · 20:05
3:1
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Eric Wattellier, France
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.60
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.20
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.53 – 0.93
Δ +0.60
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +8.6% better than the market.

Monaco arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a pressing edge in attack against Nantes' defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Nantes struggles for consistency on the road. Expect Monaco to leverage their compact block and set-piece threat to control the game tempo.

  • Home side's offensive firepower outmatches Nantes' defensive setup.
  • Monaco's recent form suggests better point returns and confidence.
  • Match likely to see moderate goal action, favoring home control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✗ Lost
AI 66% Implied 61% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MON 4-2-3-1 · NAN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · MON
43' Coulibaly ↑ · Akliouche
62' Fati ↑ · Camara
76' Teze ↑ · Zakaria
76' Diatta ↑ · Vanderson
76' Biereth ↑ · Balogun
Subs used · NAN
46' Cozza ↑ · Sylla
66' Lepenant ↑ · Kaba
66' Ganago ↑ · Cabella
66' Sissoko ↑ · Coquelin
78' El Arabi ↑ · Youssef

📊 Statistics

MON 31 NAN
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.53
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
12
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
8
9
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
8
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
5
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

22 · 3 – 1
S. Adingra
1–0
25'
S. Adingra
Assist · A. Golovin · 2–0
28'
D. Zakaria
Assist · A. Golovin · 3–0
30'
M. Coulibaly ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑
Substitution 1
43'
45'
F. Centonze
Assist · D. Machado · 3–1
Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 3 – 1
46'
N. Cozza ↓ · A. Sylla ↑
Substitution 1
Mamadou Coulibaly
Yellow Card
45+3'
A. Fati ↓ · L. Camara ↑
Substitution 2
62'
Aleksandr Golovin
Yellow Card
64'
Aleksandr Golovin
Yellow Card
65'
Aleksandr Golovin
Red Card
65'
66'
J. Lepenant ↓ · M. Kaba ↑
Substitution 2
66'
I. Ganago ↓ · R. Cabella ↑
Substitution 3
66'
I. Sissoko ↓ · F. Coquelin ↑
Substitution 4
J. Teze ↓ · D. Zakaria ↑
Substitution 3
76'
K. Diatta ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 4
76'
M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 5
76'
78'
Y. El Arabi ↓ · Ali Youssef ↑
Substitution 5
Jordan Teze
Yellow Card
82'
87'
Chidozie Awaziem
Yellow Card
90+1'
Ibrahima Sissoko
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.65 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 53% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.80 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.45 34% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Home Win 1.50 69% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 56% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.17 69% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.93 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 79% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Away Win 6.76 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.16u −30% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
MON – NAN @ 1.65
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →