Match Monaco vs Nantes February 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +8.6% better than the market.

Monaco arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a pressing edge in attack against Nantes' defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Nantes struggles for consistency on the road. Expect Monaco to leverage their compact block and set-piece threat to control the game tempo.

Home side's offensive firepower outmatches Nantes' defensive setup.
Monaco's recent form suggests better point returns and confidence.
Match likely to see moderate goal action, favoring home control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 61% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MON 4-2-3-1 · NAN 3-4-2-1

MON · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NAN

9 Balogun

Subs used · MON

43'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Akliouche ↓

62'

Fati ↑ ·

Camara ↓

76'

Teze ↑ ·

Zakaria ↓

76'

Diatta ↑ ·

Vanderson ↓

76'

Biereth ↑ ·

Balogun ↓

Subs used · NAN

46'

Cozza ↑ ·

Sylla ↓

66'

Lepenant ↑ ·

Kaba ↓

66'

Ganago ↑ ·

Cabella ↓

66'

Sissoko ↑ ·

Coquelin ↓

78'

El Arabi ↑ ·

Youssef ↓

📊 Statistics

MON 3 – 1 NAN

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

22 · 3 – 1

S. Adingra

1–0

⚽

25'

S. Adingra

Assist · A. Golovin · 2–0

⚽

28'

D. Zakaria

Assist · A. Golovin · 3–0

⚽

30'

M. Coulibaly ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

43'

45'

⚽

F. Centonze

Assist · D. Machado · 3–1

Lamine Camara

Yellow Card

▮

45+1'

Half-time · 3 – 1

46'

⇄

N. Cozza ↓ · A. Sylla ↑

Substitution 1

Mamadou Coulibaly

Yellow Card

▮

45+3'

A. Fati ↓ · L. Camara ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

Aleksandr Golovin

Yellow Card

▮

64'

Aleksandr Golovin

Yellow Card

▮

65'

Aleksandr Golovin

Red Card

▮

65'

66'

⇄

J. Lepenant ↓ · M. Kaba ↑

Substitution 2

66'

⇄

I. Ganago ↓ · R. Cabella ↑

Substitution 3

66'

⇄

I. Sissoko ↓ · F. Coquelin ↑

Substitution 4

J. Teze ↓ · D. Zakaria ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

K. Diatta ↓ · Vanderson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

78'

⇄

Y. El Arabi ↓ · Ali Youssef ↑

Substitution 5

Jordan Teze

Yellow Card

▮

82'

87'

▮

Chidozie Awaziem

Yellow Card

90+1'

▮

Ibrahima Sissoko

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Monaco beat Nantes 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.53 to 0.93. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Adingra (25'), S. Adingra (28'), D. Zakaria (30'), F. Centonze (45'). Aleksandr Golovin was sent off in the 65' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.16 units (Brier 0.126).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.65	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.60	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	53%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.80	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.45	—	34%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Home Win	1.50	—	69%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.60	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.57	—	56%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.17	—	69%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.93	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	79%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Away Win	6.76	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.16u	−30% ROI