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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Stade Brestois 29

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Stade Brestois 29

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D L L L D Away · last 5
Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
56%
Best 1.55
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · BRE
20%
Best 6.10
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.31
Fair odds
3.09
book 3.31 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +7.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.4%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.4%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LIL – BRE @ 3.31
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →