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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Angers — Metz

Predictions by Market: Angers vs Metz

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Angers
Angers
Home · last 5 D L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 16:15
1:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stade Raymond-Kopa · Angers Referee Benoît Millot, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ANG
54%
Best 2.18
Draw
26%
Best 3.25
Away Win · MET
20%
Best 3.53
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.10
book 3.40 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ANG – MET @ 3.40
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →