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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions by Market: Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Fri 23 Jan · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Mathieu Vernice, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUX
7%
Best 10.13
Draw
17%
Best 5.78
Away Win · PSG
76%
Best 1.29
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
5.04
book 5.50 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 5.99
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.6%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AUX – PSG @ 5.50
+9.2%
Edge
Forecast →