P
Prognosist
P
Home France Ligue 1 Marseille — Lens

Predictions Marseille vs Lens January 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 20:05
3:1
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Home Win · MAR
56%
Best 2.10
Draw
24%
Best 3.78
Away Win · LEN
20%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.65
Fair odds
2.44
book 2.65 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +8.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 19.9%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 83%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.9%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.