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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Strasbourg

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Strasbourg

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 19:45
1:4
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Referee Willy Delajod, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
56%
Best 2.45
Draw
25%
Best 3.38
Away Win · STR
19%
Best 2.90
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.88
book 3.10 · +7.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +7.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (65%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 56.2%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.4%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 19.4%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.8%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LIL – STR @ 3.10
+7.8%
Edge
Forecast →