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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Monaco — Lorient

Match Monaco vs Lorient January 16, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 18:00
1:3
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Willy Delajod, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.64
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.46
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.30
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.20 – 1.46
Δ −0.26
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Monaco holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite patchy recent form. Their attacking threat faces a Lorient defense that has struggled, suggesting Monaco can break through. The home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Lorient’s compact block, who rely on resilience but lack offensive firepower. Expect a moderately paced game with chances favoring Monaco’s sharper front line.

  • Monaco’s home edge and stronger attack
  • Lorient’s defensive vulnerability
  • Recent form favors Monaco’s scoring potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MON 4-2-2-2 · LOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · MON
62' Ilenikhena ↑ · Biereth
69' Vanderson ↑ · Ouattara
69' Fati ↑ · Teze
90+4' Brunner ↑ · Balogun
Subs used · LOR
75' Karim ↑ · Pagis
75' Bamba ↑ · Dieng
90+2' Adjei ↑ · Silva
90+2' Mvuka Mugisha ↑ · Le Bris
90+6' Bley ↑ · Cadiou

📊 Statistics

MON 13 LOR
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.46
14
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
9
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 1 – 3
Half-time · 0 – 0
G. Ilenikhena ↓ · M. Biereth ↑
Substitution 1
62'
68'
B. Dieng
Assist · B. Meite · 0–1
Vanderson ↓ · K. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 2
69'
A. Fati ↓ · J. Teze ↑
Substitution 3
69'
Denis Zakaria
Yellow Card
70'
75'
D. Karim ↓ · P. Pagis ↑
Substitution 1
75'
M. Bamba ↓ · B. Dieng ↑
Substitution 2
A. Fati
1–1
76'
85'
J. Makengo
Assist · D. Karim · 1–2
87'
D. Karim
Assist · N. Cadiou · 1–3
90+2'
N. Adjei ↓ · Igor Silva ↑
Substitution 3
90+2'
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 4
P. Brunner ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
90+6'
M. Bley ↓ · N. Cadiou ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.64 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.46 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.64 58% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 36% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.44 35% Cashed +1.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.19 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.57 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.27 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.30 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 80% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.47 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.53 13% Cashed +4.53 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.01 13% Cashed +3.01 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +3.06u +18% ROI